tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
5,582 nonstop flights · Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 · US DOT on-time records, all US airlines

Leave before 9 am: 9 in 10 depart on time. After 4 pm it’s 3 in 5.

Best time to leave 6–7 am 95% arrive on time from SAN
Best single flight AS 3006 SAN 19:56 → SMF 21:45 · 84% on time Avoid AS 3439 SAN 11:00 → SMF 12:53 · 74% on time

Time of day × airport

Share of this route’s flights leaving within 15 minutes, by airport and scheduled departure hour, over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026. Blank: no flights then (or fewer than 40 in the year).

6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
SAN
95
90
88
82
83
71
64
57
60
64
60
68
55
60
61
59
68
% of this route’s flights leaving within 15 min (small number: flights in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule): 85+75–8465–7455–64under 55
Sacramento flights leaving SAN 10–11 pm: 1Close ×
AS 3349flown by SkyWest SAN 22:07 SMF 23:56 1h 49m 135 78% 3.7% 45 min

Airlines on this route

Arriving within 15 minutes. Regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Pick an airline to see its flights.
Alaska (incl. SkyWest, Horizon) 1,782 79% 2.2% 50 min
Southwest 3,800 76% 0.6% 47 min

Flights, best and worst

Flights in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule that ran 150+ times in the year. Times are local. Pick a flight for its history.
AS 3006flown by SkyWest SAN 19:56 SMF 21:45 84%
AS 3410flown by SkyWest SAN 17:43 SMF 19:32 80%
AS 3439flown by SkyWest SAN 11:00 SMF 12:53 74%
All 27 flights on this route →

Nonstops by airline and airport

Arriving within 15 minutes, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026. Pick a row to see that airline’s flights on that airport pair.
Alaska SAN SMF 1h 49m 79% 2.2% 1,782 Flying now
Southwest SAN SMF 1h 45m 76% 0.6% 3,800 Flying now
Flying on a particular day? Pick a date above and the same ranking uses our forecast odds for each flight that day: Tomorrow.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON