tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Southwest’s SAN → MSY flights land within a few points of 3 in 4 on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest SAN MSY 3h 35m 74% 0.9% 342 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → SAN 19:50 → AUS 01:10WN 3477 4h 00m Austin AUS 05:10 → MSY 06:35 +1WN 4942 8h 45m 100% 93%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 19:55 → HOU 01:55WN 4675 3h 40m Houston HOU 05:35 → MSY 06:45 +1WN 2049 8h 50m 96% 92%
AmericanDetails → SAN 21:25 → CLT 05:12AA 1860 2h 25m Charlotte CLT 07:37 → MSY 08:38 +1AA 2180 9h 13m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → SAN 22:25 → MIA 06:36AA 1480 1h 24m Miami MIA 08:00 → MSY 09:18 +1AA 2168 8h 53m 93% 89%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 22:40 → BNA 04:45WN 3480 3h 20m Nashville BNA 08:05 → MSY 09:40 +1WN 594 9h 00m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → SAN 21:59 → IAD 05:59UA 2129 2h 41m Dulles IAD 08:40 → MSY 10:24 +1UA 2253 10h 25m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAN 22:30 → ATL 05:50DL 819 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 07:32 → MSY 08:04 +1DL 3128 7h 37m 99% 88%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 21:55 → MCO 05:55WN 4874 3h 40m Orlando MCO 09:35 → MSY 10:25 +1WN 2668 10h 30m 100% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → SAN 06:35 → BNA 12:45WN 3478 47m Nashville BNA 13:32 → MSY 15:08WN 595 6h 32m 52% 30%
AmericanDetails → SAN 11:07 → DFW 16:28AA 2476 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:26 → MSY 19:03AA 2158 5h 52m 72% 30%
SouthwestDetails → SAN 13:20 → DEN 16:55WN 3496 2h 10m Denver DEN 19:05 → MSY 22:48WN 3301 7h 25m 70% 24%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
DAL · 1h 12m · leaves 06:35 3%
DFW · 1h 06m · leaves 06:16 12%
Afternoon and evening
ATL · 1h 10m · leaves 14:18 12%
IAH · 1h 07m · leaves 11:58 17%
DFW · 58m · leaves 11:07 28%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON