tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same 75-minute layover misses 3% of the time at 11 am and 23% of the time at 9 pm.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Alaska SEA MSY 4h 39m 82% 0.3% 622 Flying now
Delta SEA MSY – 100%few flights 0.0% 5 Not flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
AmericanDetails → SEA 20:45 → MIA 05:37AA 1471 2h 23m Miami MIA 08:00 → MSY 09:18 +1AA 2168 10h 33m 95% 92%
DeltaDetails → SEA 22:58 → ATL 06:45DL 409 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 08:58 → MSY 09:30 +1DL 1424 8h 35m 100% 90%
Alaska + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails → SEA 21:18 → TPA 05:48AS 639 2h 07m Tampa TPA 07:55 → MSY 08:35 +1WN 934 9h 17m 93% 88%
DeltaDetails → SEA 21:45 → ATL 05:36DL 567 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 07:32 → MSY 08:04 +1DL 3128 8h 22m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → SEA 05:00 → DEN 08:43UA 2601 1h 07m Denver DEN 09:50 → MSY 13:39UA 2273 6h 39m 98% 87%
Alaska + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails → SEA 21:33 → MCO 06:16AS 394 3h 19m Orlando MCO 09:35 → MSY 10:25 +1WN 2668 10h 52m 100% 87%
Alaska + Southwesttwo ticketsDetails → SEA 23:15 → BNA 05:40AS 382 2h 25m Nashville BNA 08:05 → MSY 09:40 +1WN 594 8h 25m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → SEA 11:55 → IAH 18:35UA 2293 3h 40m Houston IAH 22:15 → MSY 23:26UA 2474 9h 31m 100% 86%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SEA 08:40 → ATL 16:33DL 797 1h 02m Atlanta ATL 17:35 → MSY 18:10DL 3132 7h 30m 70% 50%
UnitedDetails → SEA 08:45 → SFO 11:03UA 2831 1h 05m San Francisco SFO 12:08 → MSY 18:33UA 246 7h 48m 39% 31%
AmericanDetails → SEA 13:58 → ORD 20:26AA 2520 54m Chicago ORD 21:20 → MSY 23:47AA 3896 · flown by Envoy 7h 49m 36% 22%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
DEN · 1h 07m · leaves 05:00 2%
IAD · 1h 18m · leaves 23:20 6%
ATL · 1h 12m · leaves 23:59 7%
Afternoon and evening
ATL · 1h 02m · leaves 08:40 30%
ORD · 54m · leaves 13:58 64%
DAL · 1h 00m · leaves 15:05 84%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON