tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same 90-minute layover misses 3% of the time at 9 am and 14% of the time at 11 pm.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
United SFO ANC 4h 56m 91% 0.0% 138 Flying now
Alaska SFO ANC 4h 56m 80% 0.0% 157 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Anchorage on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Anchorage is 1 h behind San Francisco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
AlaskaDetails → SFO 12:08 → PDX 13:50AS 235 4h 00m Portland PDX 17:50 → ANC 20:38AS 271 9h 30m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → SFO 00:50 → ORD 07:16UA 1850 1h 48m Chicago ORD 09:04 → ANC 12:56UA 840 13h 06m 99% 85%
United + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → SFO 18:28 → SEA 20:53UA 1577 3h 06m Seattle SEA 23:59 → ANC 02:40 +1AS 1363 9h 12m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → SFO 00:35 → MSP 06:09DL 2789 2h 41m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → ANC 11:25DL 555 11h 50m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SFO 07:05 → IAH 13:11UA 686 1h 09m Houston IAH 14:20 → ANC 18:41UA 2369 12h 36m 96% 83%
United + Alaskatwo ticketsDetails → SFO 13:55 → LAX 15:35UA 2610 3h 56m Los Angeles LAX 19:31 → ANC 23:55AS 1899 11h 00m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → SFO 08:31 → DEN 12:22UA 2348 3h 13m Denver DEN 15:35 → ANC 19:12UA 1592 11h 41m 98% 80%
Southwest + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → SFO 05:10 → DEN 08:40WN 1424 2h 40m Denver DEN 11:20 → ANC 14:53UA 280 10h 43m 100% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SFO 11:24 → DFW 17:14AA 1849 1h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:40 → ANC 22:39AA 395 12h 15m 70% 45%
AlaskaDetails → SFO 15:50 → SEA 18:00AS 1340 46m Seattle SEA 18:46 → ANC 21:25AS 661 6h 35m 54% 38%
AmericanDetails → SFO 15:52 → PHX 18:04AA 1321 1h 14m Phoenix PHX 19:18 → ANC 23:59AA 1981 9h 07m 55% 32%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
SEA · 1h 08m · leaves 06:03 5%
Afternoon and evening
PDX · 1h 03m · leaves 15:02 23%
PHX · 1h 14m · leaves 15:52 45%
SEA · 46m · leaves 15:50 46%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON