tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
1,342 nonstop flights · Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 · US DOT on-time records, all US airlines

Leave before 9 am: 92% depart on time. After 4 pm it’s 4 in 5.

Best time to leave 9–10 am 91% arrive on time from SMF

Time of day × airport

Share of this route’s flights leaving within 15 minutes, by airport and scheduled departure hour, over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026. Blank: no flights then (or fewer than 40 in the year).

5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
SMF
92
91
86
84
80
62
79
% of this route’s flights leaving within 15 min (small number: flights in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule): 85+75–8465–7455–64under 55
Chicago flights leaving SMF 3–4 pm: 1Close ×
AA 2627 SMF 15:05 ORD 21:35 4h 30m 61 67% 1.6% 73 min

Airlines on this route

Arriving within 15 minutes. Regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Pick an airline to see its flights.
United 987 82% 1.3% 78 min
American 355 73% 1.7% 109 min

Flights, best and worst

Flights in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule that ran 150+ times in the year. Times are local. Pick a flight for its history.

No flight on this route ran 150+ times in the year.

All 6 flights on this route →

Nonstops by airline and airport

Arriving within 15 minutes, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026. Pick a row to see that airline’s flights on that airport pair.
United SMF ORD 4h 10m 82% 1.3% 987 Flying now
American SMF ORD 4h 10m 73% 1.7% 355 Flying now
Flying on a particular day? Pick a date above and the same ranking uses our forecast odds for each flight that day: Tomorrow.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON