tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No nonstop, and no clear pattern: the best connection reaches Miami on time 88% of the time.

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Miami is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
DeltaDetails → SNA 17:03 → SLC 19:59DL 1277 3h 01m Salt Lake City SLC 23:00 → MIA 05:42 +1DL 2040 9h 39m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SNA 21:15 → EWR 05:33UA 2186 1h 27m Newark EWR 07:00 → MIA 10:02 +1UA 2785 9h 47m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → SNA 18:20 → SFO 19:51UA 2657 3h 03m San Francisco SFO 22:54 → MIA 07:39 +1UA 1769 10h 19m 96% 80%
Southwest + Americantwo ticketsDetails → SNA 18:30 → PHX 19:50WN 3088 3h 15m Phoenix PHX 23:05 → MIA 06:28 +1AA 2654 8h 58m 100% 79%
Southwest + Americantwo ticketsDetails → SNA 09:00 → LAS 10:10WN 2218 2h 35m Las Vegas LAS 12:45 → MIA 20:41AA 1105 8h 41m 100% 79%
Alaska + Americantwo ticketsDetails → SNA 06:47 → SEA 09:42AS 1325 3h 14m Seattle SEA 12:56 → MIA 21:55AA 654 12h 08m 100% 77%
Southwest + Americantwo ticketsDetails → SNA 07:00 → DEN 10:25WN 4011 1h 47m Denver DEN 12:12 → MIA 18:20AA 3118 8h 20m 98% 76%
DeltaDetails → SNA 21:00 → JFK 05:23DL 556 1h 42m New York JFK 07:05 → MIA 10:21 +1DL 1528 10h 21m 97% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
FrontierDetails → SNA 20:10 → LAS 21:21F9 3738 1h 08m Las Vegas LAS 22:29 → MIA 06:30 +1F9 4552 7h 20m 75% 55%
AmericanDetails → SNA 19:32 → PHX 20:57AA 2685 1h 03m Phoenix PHX 22:00 → MIA 05:22 +1AA 2205 6h 50m 75% 50%
AmericanDetails → SNA 12:55 → DFW 18:14AA 2669 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:12 → MIA 22:59AA 1824 7h 04m 57% 36%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Afternoon and evening
LAS · 1h 08m · leaves 20:10 25%
PHX · 1h 03m · leaves 19:32 25%
DFW · 58m · leaves 12:55 43%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON