tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Connect in the morning. The same 75-minute layover misses 4% of the time at 8 am and 1 time in 4 at 7 pm.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest SRQ STL 2h 35m 84% 0.3% 349 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (St Louis is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → SRQ 06:15 → MCO 07:10WN 385 1h 40m Orlando MCO 08:50 → STL 10:20WN 4501 5h 05m 97% 90%
AmericanDetails → SRQ 06:15 → MIA 07:17AA 4139 · flown by Envoy 1h 06m Miami MIA 08:23 → STL 10:24AA 3954 · flown by Envoy 5h 09m 95% 89%
SouthwestDetails → SRQ 05:15 → MDW 06:55WN 3288 55m Chicago MDW 07:50 → STL 09:10WN 2900 4h 55m 90% 86%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 11:01 → ATL 12:44DL 3196 1h 25m Atlanta ATL 14:09 → STL 14:48DL 2700 4h 49m 96% 82%
UnitedDetails → SRQ 06:00 → EWR 08:53UA 1343 1h 00m Newark EWR 09:53 → STL 11:41UA 3630 · flown by Republic 6h 41m 94% 82%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 06:00 → ATL 07:43DL 1499 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:04 → STL 09:43DL 1400 4h 46m 96% 80%
AmericanDetails → SRQ 06:21 → CLT 08:15AA 2264 2h 45m Charlotte CLT 11:00 → STL 11:59AA 2717 6h 37m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 18:22 → ATL 20:13DL 3109 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → STL 23:53DL 1403 6h 34m 96% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SRQ 16:30 → ORD 18:46UA 1400 1h 09m Chicago ORD 19:55 → STL 21:26UA 2144 5h 56m 74% 46%
SouthwestDetails → SRQ 11:25 → BNA 12:30WN 4423 48m Nashville BNA 13:18 → STL 14:32WN 1371 4h 08m 59% 44%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
MIA · 1h 06m · leaves 06:15 5%
EWR · 1h 00m · leaves 06:00 6%
MDW · 55m · leaves 05:15 10%
Afternoon and evening
ATL · 1h 20m · leaves 18:22 15%
ORD · 1h 09m · leaves 16:30 26%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON