tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Southwest’s STL → MSY flights land within a few points of 84% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest STL MSY 1h 50m 84% 0.1% 733 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
UnitedDetails → STL 06:00 → ORD 07:30UA 2805 2h 55m Chicago ORD 10:25 → MSY 12:55UA 1850 6h 55m 97% 92%
SouthwestDetails → STL 05:45 → DEN 07:00WN 3909 1h 00m Denver DEN 08:00 → MSY 11:45WN 1642 5h 57m 91% 88%
SouthwestDetails → STL 05:05 → MCO 08:25WN 4358 1h 10m Orlando MCO 09:35 → MSY 10:25WN 2668 5h 20m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → STL 06:14 → IAH 08:31UA 6283 · flown by Mesa 3h 24m Houston IAH 11:55 → MSY 13:14UA 2385 7h 00m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:42DL 2542 5h 42m 99% 83%
SouthwestDetails → STL 05:20 → HOU 07:25WN 3919 3h 20m Houston HOU 10:45 → MSY 12:00WN 2051 6h 40m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → STL 08:49 → MSP 10:30DL 5325 · flown by Endeavor 2h 15m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695 6h 36m 97% 81%
Southwest + Deltatwo ticketsDetails → STL 09:55 → DTW 12:25WN 4177 1h 58m Detroit DTW 14:23 → MSY 15:57DL 1652 6h 02m 94% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → STL 07:04 → DFW 09:06AA 537 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:54 → MSY 11:26AA 2885 4h 20m 74% 48%
AmericanDetails → STL 12:39 → CLT 15:34AA 2717 1h 00m Charlotte CLT 16:34 → MSY 17:41AA 2203 5h 00m 71% 32%
AmericanDetails → STL 19:22 → DFW 21:20AA 2491 1h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:30 → MSY 23:58AA 1472 4h 36m 48% 19%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
MCO · 1h 10m · leaves 05:05 0%
ATL · 1h 20m · leaves 07:08 3%
DEN · 1h 00m · leaves 05:45 9%
Afternoon and evening
IAH · 1h 16m · leaves 14:57 26%
CLT · 1h 00m · leaves 12:39 29%
DFW · 1h 10m · leaves 19:22 52%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON