tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Southwest’s STL → PNS flights land within a few points of 85% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest STL PNS 1h 45m 85% 0.0% 216 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pensacola on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
AmericanDetails → STL 05:10 → CLT 08:03AA 858 3h 19m Charlotte CLT 11:22 → PNS 12:17AA 5349 · flown by PSA 7h 08m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 2h 01m Atlanta ATL 10:39 → PNS 10:51DL 3198 4h 52m 99% 85%
SouthwestDetails → STL 05:40 → MDW 06:45WN 1008 1h 00m Chicago MDW 07:45 → PNS 10:00WN 4103 4h 20m 89% 84%
DeltaDetails → STL 07:08 → ATL 09:45DL 1536 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 12:50 → PNS 13:00DL 1640 5h 55m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → STL 08:35 → IAH 10:50UA 4579 · flown by GoJet 3h 30m Houston IAH 14:20 → PNS 16:06UA 4869 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 31m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → STL 09:24 → ATL 12:02DL 1571 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 15:11 → PNS 15:26DL 1013 6h 02m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → STL 06:00 → ORD 07:30UA 2805 3h 08m Chicago ORD 10:38 → PNS 13:07UA 2672 7h 07m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → STL 09:08 → ORD 10:36AA 4104 · flown by Envoy 1h 53m Chicago ORD 12:29 → PNS 15:03AA 4444 · flown by Republic 5h 55m 97% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → STL 08:37 → DFW 10:37AA 3194 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:24 → PNS 13:25AA 5353 · flown by PSA 4h 48m 65% 35%
AmericanDetails → STL 13:14 → DFW 15:10AA 5655 · flown by PSA 1h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:24 → PNS 18:14AA 2314 5h 01m 72% 27%
AmericanDetails → STL 17:13 → DFW 19:15AA 2712 1h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:22 → PNS 22:22AA 5510 · flown by PSA 5h 09m 38% 16%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
CLT · 1h 17m · leaves 05:10 4%
ATL · 54m · leaves 07:08 5%
MDW · 1h 00m · leaves 05:40 11%
Afternoon and evening
CLT · 1h 13m · leaves 18:13 17%
IAH · 56m · leaves 14:57 39%
DFW · 1h 07m · leaves 17:13 62%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON