tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 72% on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest TUL MCO 2h 45m 73% 0.0% 171 Flying now
Frontier TUL MCO – 67%few flights 25.0% 4 Not flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
Southwest + Frontiertwo ticketsDetails → TUL 07:35 → BNA 09:10WN 4051 2h 02m Nashville BNA 11:12 → MCO 14:25F9 1286 5h 50m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → TUL 05:00 → IAH 06:43UA 4041 · flown by Mesa 2h 47m Houston IAH 09:30 → MCO 13:00UA 2310 7h 00m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → TUL 07:00 → IAH 08:46UA 3984 · flown by Mesa 3h 39m Houston IAH 12:25 → MCO 16:04UA 2662 8h 04m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → TUL 06:00 → DEN 07:00UA 5667 · flown by SkyWest 1h 10m Denver DEN 08:10 → MCO 13:57UA 2292 6h 57m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → TUL 09:00 → IAH 10:47UA 4007 · flown by Mesa 3h 49m Houston IAH 14:36 → MCO 18:14UA 496 8h 14m 100% 80%
SouthwestDetails → TUL 05:35 → DAL 06:40WN 4814 2h 30m Dallas DAL 09:10 → MCO 12:50WN 1725 6h 15m 100% 79%
UnitedDetails → TUL 13:41 → IAH 15:29UA 5637 · flown by SkyWest 2h 57m Houston IAH 18:26 → MCO 21:58UA 2451 7h 17m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → TUL 06:00 → ATL 09:00DL 1259 1h 25m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 5h 00m 95% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → TUL 20:35 → LAS 21:25WN 4056 1h 25m Las Vegas LAS 22:50 → MCO 06:25 +1WN 4590 8h 50m 67% 55%
AmericanDetails → TUL 10:54 → DFW 12:16AA 2851 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:06 → MCO 16:57AA 1288 5h 03m 68% 40%
AmericanDetails → TUL 15:49 → DFW 17:13AA 5420 · flown by PSA 1h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:30 → MCO 22:20AA 2186 5h 28m 69% 30%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
MDW · 1h 15m · leaves 05:00 0%
DEN · 1h 10m · leaves 06:00 4%
BNA · 1h 05m · leaves 07:35 5%
Afternoon and evening
ATL · 1h 15m · leaves 12:41 12%
IAH · 56m · leaves 16:59 16%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON