Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s TVC → MSP flights land within a few points of 73% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


Delta	TVC	MSP	1h 39m	73%	0.0%	215	Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Traverse City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


United + Americantwo ticketsDetails →	TVC 09:00 → ORD 09:30UA 3544 · flown by Republic	2h 15m Chicago	ORD 11:45 → MSP 13:27AA 3719 · flown by Envoy	5h 27m	100%	90%
American Details →	TVC 05:40 → ORD 05:59AA 3909 · flown by Envoy	2h 23m Chicago	ORD 08:22 → MSP 10:06AA 4162 · flown by Envoy	5h 28m	97%	86%
United Details →	TVC 06:00 → ORD 06:30UA 5840 · flown by SkyWest	2h 20m Chicago	ORD 08:50 → MSP 10:36UA 2805	5h 36m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	TVC 06:40 → DTW 07:46DL 2292	1h 14m Detroit	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:55DL 2258	4h 15m	89%	75%
United Details →	TVC 15:28 → DEN 16:27UA 1306	2h 18m Denver	DEN 18:45 → MSP 21:50UA 2076	7h 22m	94%	71%
United Details →	TVC 07:15 → ORD 07:42UA 1486	2h 43m Chicago	ORD 10:25 → MSP 12:12UA 215	5h 57m	96%	70%
Delta Details →	TVC 14:07 → DTW 15:20DL 3976 · flown by SkyWest	2h 50m Detroit	DTW 18:10 → MSP 19:08DL 1842	6h 01m	95%	69%
United Details →	TVC 12:15 → ORD 12:45UA 5575 · flown by SkyWest	1h 45m Chicago	ORD 14:30 → MSP 16:13UA 2298	4h 58m	97%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	TVC 14:07 → DTW 15:20DL 3976 · flown by SkyWest	1h 05m Detroit	DTW 16:25 → MSP 17:20DL 2203	4h 13m	75%	57%
Delta Details →	TVC 17:58 → DTW 19:15DL 3965 · flown by SkyWest	50m Detroit	DTW 20:05 → MSP 21:00DL 1303	4h 02m	57%	36%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ORD · 55m · leaves 09:00 7%

DTW · 1h 14m · leaves 06:40 11%

Afternoon and evening

DTW · 50m · leaves 17:58 43%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON