Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: Delta’s TVC → DTW flights land within a few points of 77% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops


Delta	TVC	DTW	1h 12m	77%	2.1%	1,184	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


American Details →	TVC 05:40 → ORD 05:59AA 3909 · flown by Envoy	1h 31m Chicago	ORD 07:30 → DTW 10:03AA 4103 · flown by Envoy	4h 24m	96%	87%
United Details →	TVC 09:00 → ORD 09:30UA 3544 · flown by Republic	1h 20m Chicago	ORD 10:50 → DTW 13:27UA 5756 · flown by SkyWest	4h 27m	98%	75%
Delta Details →	TVC 13:36 → MSP 14:16DL 3995 · flown by SkyWest	1h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 16:15 → DTW 18:59DL 1476	5h 24m	94%	75%
American Details →	TVC 12:27 → ORD 12:58AA 4190 · flown by Envoy	2h 01m Chicago	ORD 14:59 → DTW 17:34AA 3980 · flown by Envoy	5h 07m	96%	74%
United Details →	TVC 12:15 → ORD 12:45UA 5575 · flown by SkyWest	2h 15m Chicago	ORD 15:00 → DTW 17:39UA 5867 · flown by SkyWest	5h 24m	97%	73%
Delta Details →	TVC 11:55 → BOS 14:15DL 5861 · flown by Republic	3h 00m Boston	BOS 17:15 → DTW 19:39DL 1432	7h 40m	99%	67%
United Details →	TVC 13:46 → EWR 16:00UA 3618 · flown by Republic	2h 10m Newark	EWR 18:10 → DTW 20:23UA 3586 · flown by Republic	6h 37m	97%	66%
Delta Details →	TVC 12:08 → ATL 14:28DL 1649	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 17:10 → DTW 19:11DL 2067	7h 03m	88%	63%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	TVC 18:29 → ORD 19:00UA 5469 · flown by SkyWest	47m Chicago	ORD 19:47 → DTW 22:19UA 2426	3h 50m	58%	33%
American Details →	TVC 16:37 → ORD 17:14AA 4903 · flown by SkyWest	53m Chicago	ORD 18:07 → DTW 20:42AA 3500 · flown by Envoy	4h 05m	61%	32%
American Details →	TVC 17:05 → DFW 19:09AA 2870	46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:55 → DTW 23:40AA 690	6h 35m	45%	29%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ORD · 1h 20m · leaves 09:00 2%

Afternoon and evening

DEN · 1h 20m · leaves 15:28 17%

ORD · 53m · leaves 16:37 39%

DFW · 46m · leaves 17:05 55%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


United UA 3544 TVC 09:00 → ORD Delta DL 3673 ORD 11:30 → DTW Connection details →	2h 00m	4h 59m	98%	81%
United UA 5840 TVC 06:00 → ORD American AA 3498 ORD 10:00 → DTW Connection details →	3h 30m	6h 34m	97%	80%
United UA 5575 TVC 12:15 → ORD American AA 3980 ORD 14:59 → DTW Connection details →	2h 14m	5h 19m	97%	74%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON