Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: United’s TVC → EWR flights land within a few points of 63% on time whatever the hour.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)


United	TVC	EWR	2h 10m	63%	8.0%	87	Flying now

Best connections, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Newark on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.


United Details →	TVC 09:00 → ORD 09:30UA 3544 · flown by Republic	2h 41m Chicago	ORD 12:11 → EWR 15:39UA 606	6h 39m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	TVC 06:40 → DTW 07:46DL 2292	2h 29m Detroit	DTW 10:15 → EWR 11:59DL 2577	5h 19m	97%	75%
United Details →	TVC 15:28 → DEN 16:27UA 1306	2h 43m Denver	DEN 19:10 → EWR 01:04 +1UA 2093	9h 36m	96%	75%
United Details →	TVC 07:15 → ORD 07:42UA 1486	3h 09m Chicago	ORD 10:51 → EWR 14:17UA 1856	7h 02m	98%	71%
United Details →	TVC 06:00 → ORD 06:30UA 5840 · flown by SkyWest	2h 10m Chicago	ORD 08:40 → EWR 12:06UA 2301	6h 06m	93%	69%
Delta Details →	TVC 10:30 → DTW 11:43DL 4021 · flown by SkyWest	2h 27m Detroit	DTW 14:10 → EWR 15:59DL 2573	5h 29m	100%	68%
American Details →	TVC 13:17 → CLT 15:40AA 5571 · flown by PSA	2h 41m Charlotte	CLT 18:21 → EWR 20:30AA 1071	7h 13m	99%	64%
Delta Details →	TVC 17:58 → DTW 19:15DL 3965 · flown by SkyWest	2h 25m Detroit	DTW 21:40 → EWR 23:29DL 2609	5h 31m	94%	62%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	TVC 18:35 → MSP 19:14DL 4915 · flown by Endeavor	1h 01m Minneapolis	MSP 20:15 → EWR 23:59DL 2846	5h 24m	60%	42%
United Details →	TVC 14:18 → ORD 14:45UA 2605	1h 12m Chicago	ORD 15:57 → EWR 19:33UA 2171	5h 15m	75%	17%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning

ORD · 58m · leaves 07:15 16%

Afternoon and evening

CLT · 1h 03m · leaves 13:17 16%

MSP · 1h 01m · leaves 18:35 40%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.

Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.


American AA 3909 TVC 05:40 → ORD United UA 2301 ORD 08:40 → EWR Connection details →	2h 41m	6h 26m	97%	73%
Delta DL 4021 TVC 10:30 → DTW United UA 3611 DTW 15:15 → EWR Connection details →	3h 32m	6h 40m	100%	72%
American AA 4516 TVC 13:16 → BOS United UA 1693 BOS 19:00 → EWR Connection details →	3h 29m	7h 16m	97%	63%

Rank all connections, any airlines →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON