tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Itineraries flown on 20+ days in the Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 schedule · each leg’s record Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

No clear winner: airlines and hours on this route all land within a few points of 77% on time.

Nonstops (seasonal or thin)

Nonstop details →
Southwest TYS MCO 1h 42m 79% 0.7% 149 Flying now
Allegiant TYS MCO 1h 36m 75% 0.9% 115 Flying now

Best connections, any airlines

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival, layover included. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for the details.
SouthwestDetails → TYS 07:00 → BNA 06:55WN 3388 2h 20m Nashville BNA 09:15 → MCO 12:10WN 4712 5h 10m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → TYS 05:00 → CLT 06:23AA 5954 · flown by Piedmont 3h 46m Charlotte CLT 10:09 → MCO 11:57AA 2074 6h 57m 97% 88%
UnitedDetails → TYS 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 2483 2h 13m Chicago ORD 09:12 → MCO 13:13UA 1643 7h 13m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → TYS 05:45 → IAD 07:30UA 4311 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 15m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 23m 94% 82%
DeltaDetails → TYS 05:40 → ATL 06:44DL 3015 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 20m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → TYS 06:00 → PHL 07:56AA 5620 · flown by PSA 2h 54m Philadelphia PHL 10:50 → MCO 13:30AA 2328 7h 30m 96% 79%
Allegiant + Unitedtwo ticketsDetails → TYS 07:10 → EWR 09:05G4 1396 2h 05m Newark EWR 11:10 → MCO 14:03UA 2396 6h 53m 93% 78%
AmericanDetails → TYS 07:07 → DCA 08:57AA 5149 · flown by PSA 2h 28m Washington DCA 11:25 → MCO 13:51AA 2062 6h 44m 93% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → TYS 07:15 → IAH 08:40UA 6298 · flown by Mesa 50m Houston IAH 09:30 → MCO 13:00UA 2310 5h 45m 63% 54%
DeltaDetails → TYS 13:59 → ATL 15:08DL 4724 · flown by Endeavor 52m Atlanta ATL 16:00 → MCO 17:40DL 1742 3h 41m 67% 37%
AmericanDetails → TYS 20:05 → CLT 21:32AA 5957 · flown by Piedmont 57m Charlotte CLT 22:29 → MCO 00:17 +1AA 1879 4h 12m 55% 34%

Same layover, different day-part

How often the first flight arrives too late to connect (45 min minimum), for one-ticket layovers of 45–80 minutes.

Morning
IAD · 1h 15m · leaves 05:45 6%
MSP · 1h 09m · leaves 06:45 7%
CLT · 1h 05m · leaves 05:00 12%
Afternoon and evening
DFW · 1h 09m · leaves 13:54 18%
ATL · 52m · leaves 13:59 33%
CLT · 57m · leaves 20:05 45%

Delays build through the day, so an afternoon first leg eats the layover. A short connection is fine early in the morning and a gamble later on.

Mixing airlines

One ticketMiss it and the airline rebooks you; bags go through. 45 min is enough.
Separate ticketsMiss it and you buy a new ticket. Re-check bags, clear security again: we require 90 min.

The table above includes two-ticket connections (marked “two tickets”), held to the 90-minute minimum. One ticket only →

Regional partners count as the airline that sells them: SkyWest flying Delta Connection is one Delta ticket.

How these are worked out. Makes the connection: share of the last year’s flights where the first flight arrived with at least 45 minutes to spare (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled and arriving within 15 minutes. Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.

About this data: US DOT on-time records, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. Schedules (which flights and connections exist, and their times) are as of Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026; seasonal flights outside that window aren’t ranked. Rebuilt monthly. JSON