Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4693 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:21 PM ET, ETA 4:34 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

9E 4693 · HPN → MSP

took off 3:21 PM ET · expected to land 4:34 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ HPN is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from HPN are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.90 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4693 · HPN → MSP

Odds over time