Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4700 LANDED 3:51 PM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

9E 4700 · MSP → RST

took off 3:32 PM CT · landed 3:51 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RST more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ 3pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ RST usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.57 in

RST (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4700 · MSP → RST

Odds over time