9E 4907 · MSP → RST

departs 10:14 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at RST more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RST?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 757 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,314 ft forecast at RST that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ RST usually runs smoothly

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling757 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.79 in

RST (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,314 ft Visibility5.14286 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4907 · MSP → RST

Odds over time

How late will it get to RST?