9E 4934 · MSP → CWA

took off 8:08 PM CT · landed 8:48 PM CT (scheduled 8:05 PM CT → 9:10 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CWA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CWA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.54 in

CWA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4934 · MSP → CWA

Odds over time

How late did it get to CWA?