Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4971 LANDED 4:12 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

9E 4971 · MSP → PIT

took off 1:35 PM CT · landed 4:12 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Other factors

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.57 in

PIT (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4971 · MSP → PIT

Odds over time