tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1538 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1538 · MIA → BOS

departs 12:42 PM ET · arrives 4:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOS?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.