tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1835 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1835 · PHX → MSN

departs 4:15 PM MT · arrives 9:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
44% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSN?

  1. On time or early
    55%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.