tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2111 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2111 · PHL → MIA

departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 9:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.