Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2225 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29

AA 2225 · OMA → CLT

departs 1:45 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.47 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2225 · OMA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?