Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2406 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:04 PM CT, ETA 8:01 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 2406 · MSP → DFW

took off 6:04 PM CT · expected to land 8:01 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±5 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.66 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2406 · MSP → DFW

Odds over time