tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2464 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 2464 · SMF → CLT

departs 10:03 PM PT · arrives 6:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to CLT?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.