Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 286SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AA 286 · LIH → LAX
departs 10:25 PM HT · arrives 7:04 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.