tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2871 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 2871 · PHX → PIT

departs 3:46 PM MT · arrives 10:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to PIT?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.