tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 651 LANDED 6:10 PM PT, ~6 MIN EARLY

AA 651 · DFW → SMF

took off 5:02 PM CT · landed 6:10 PM PT (scheduled 4:43 PM CT → 6:20 PM PT)
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to SMF?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.