Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 993 LANDED 11:00 PM ET, ~16 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 993 · CLT → RIC

took off 10:17 PM ET · landed 11:00 PM ET (scheduled 9:36 PM ET → 10:50 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility6.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 993 · CLT → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?