Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1091 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 1091 · ITO → HNL

departs 6:26 PM HT · arrives 7:19 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1091 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?