Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1464SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1464 · OAK → SEA
departs 2:55 PM PT · arrives 5:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
41%chance · ±0 pts+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.