Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1535SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1535 · ANC → JFK
departs 8:04 PM AKT · arrives 7:18 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±0 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.