Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1540SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AS 1540 · ANC → MSP
departs 9:52 PM AKT · arrives 6:18 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.