Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 202SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AS 202 · SEA → OGG
departs 6:59 PM PT · arrives 10:07 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
24%chance · ±1 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.