Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 227SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 227 · JFK → SFO
departs 9:30 AM ET · arrives 12:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.