Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2749 LANDED 3:57 AM PT, ~16 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

AS 2749 · HNL → ONT

took off 8:00 PM HT · landed 3:57 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ ONT is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ONT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

ONT (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2749 · HNL → ONT

Odds over time