Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 36SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 36 · SAN → JFK
departs 2:15 PM PT · arrives 10:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±0 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.