Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 400SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 400 · SBA → SEA
departs 7:28 PM PT · arrives 10:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±1 pts+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.