Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 400SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 400 · SEA → SBA
departs 4:06 PM PT · arrives 6:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±1 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.