Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 471SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AS 471 · SNA → SEA
departs 10:28 AM PT · arrives 1:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
24%chance · ±0 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.