AS 747 · ANC → AKN

took off 3:55 PM AKT · landed 4:44 PM AKT (scheduled 3:56 PM AKT → 5:05 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AKN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AKN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AKN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

AKN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 747 · ANC → AKN

Odds over time

How late did it get to AKN?