Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
B6 1053 · JFK → PBI
departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 30%
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.