Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
B6 1053 · JFK → PBI
departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at PBI that day
↑
7pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.