B6 1146 · FLL → RIC

departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.19 in

RIC (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1146 · FLL → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?