B6 1146 · FLL → RIC

departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at RIC that day

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.33 in

RIC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1146 · FLL → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?