B6 1475 · BDL → SJU

took off 2:14 PM ET · landed 5:35 PM AT (scheduled 2:04 PM ET → 6:13 PM AT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,840 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1475 · BDL → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?