B6 1551 · HPN → RSW

took off 6:59 AM ET · landed 9:35 AM ET (scheduled 6:30 AM ET → 9:23 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↑ RSW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1551 · HPN → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?