Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1800 LANDED 10:16 PM ET, ~76 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

B6 1800 · FLL → ORF

took off 8:30 PM ET · landed 10:16 PM ET (scheduled 6:45 PM ET → 9:04 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.21 in

ORF (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1800 · FLL → ORF

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORF?