B6 1823 · FLL → MSY

took off 4:06 PM ET · landed 4:45 PM CT (scheduled 1:53 PM ET → 2:59 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.17 in

MSY (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1823 · FLL → MSY

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSY?