Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
B6 2783 · BOS → RDU
departs 8:54 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 33%
Thu 10/1 41%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.01 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.